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Benjamin Bonzi takes on Christopher Eubanks in the second round of the 2023 U.S. Men's Open this afternoon. Who has the advantage in this match? Matthew MacKay breaks down this match and shares his pick.
ANALYSIS

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Christopher Eubanks Prediction: Who Holds the Advantage at the US Open?

We're in store for an exciting match between Benjamin Bonzi and Christopher Eubanks during the second round of the 2023 U.S. Men's Open. Bonzi, a 27-year-old from France, enters this match ranked 108 on the ATP Tour, while Eubanks occupies the top 30. There will be a definitive height advantage for Eubanks, who is 6-7, 180 pounds, facing the 6-0, 180-pound Bonzi. Both players are right-handed with their forehand and backhand, while Eubanks prefers a one-handed backhand. Eubanks enters this tournament a bit more rested than Bonzi, who competed at Winston-Salem last week, advancing past the Round of 64 before losing in two sets to No. 33 Sebastian Korda.

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Christopher Eubanks Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: August 30, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Christopher Eubanks Prediction

Eubanks is a decisive betting favorite at -178 odds on the moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. Upon closer inspection, the towering American has not fared well in recent events, losing three consecutive matches, with two of these requiring a third set to determine the winner. Eubanks has made significant strides up the ATP Tour ranks since last August, climbing from 145 to 33, but he's been stuck in neutral lately, fluctuating between 43 and 29 since the beginning of July.

Bonzi was 50 a year ago, but since April, he's slid from 44 to 108, which is his lowest ranking on the ATP Tour since July 2021. The Frenchman had lost seven consecutive matches before defeating Yuta Shimizu (No. 235) and Alexandre Muller (No. 85) at Winnipeg and Winston-Salem since mid-August. He's 2-2 in match play during the month of August, compared to Eubanks, who has gone 0-3 in match play since the tournament earlier this month.

Statistically, both players are nearly identical for break points saved percentage and break points converted as a returner. Eubanks has nearly a 3:1 advantage over Bonzi for aces, showcasing his serving talent, while Bonzi holds an eight-point percentage in returns games won. Each of Eubanks' last two opening sets have gone into double-digit games due to tiebreakers, but Bonzi has only required ten-plus games in an opening set once across his last four matches.

Based on this data, we should be betting on the Set 1 Total Games 3 Way game prop for this match on FanDuel Sportsbook. There are three options, starting with under 8.5 total games at +550 odds, 9-10 total games at -115 odds, and over 10.5 total games at +135 odds. Eubanks has hit over 10.5 games in Set 1 for two consecutive matches. Meanwhile, Bonzi hasn't gone above 10.5 games in Set 1 since Marseille back in February.

Thus, we're betting on 9-10 total games in the opening set between Bonzi and Eubanks with solid -115 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Christopher Eubanks Pick

US Open Odds

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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.

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