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The Toronto Blue Jays are set to host the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday afternoon to wrap up their series. Can Vladimir Guerrero Jr. find success at home against Seth Lugo and the Royals? MJC Locks provides his top prop pick in Royals vs. Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prop Pick: Can Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Shine Against Royals?

I am going to be backing Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today at home vs. the Royals.

ROYALS VS. BLUE JAYS DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 1, 2024
  • Start Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction:

Vlad has gone for 2+ total bases in three of his last four games, and is absolutely crushing the ball against right-handed pitching as of late. Seven of his last eight batted balls all hit over 99+ MPH exit velocity, with five of those all over 112 MPH.

He is due for a dinger with those kind of numbers. Lugo is a decent matchup as well. He ranks in the 27th percentile in expected avg allowed, 11th percentile in K% allowed, and ranks in the 28th percentile in ground ball % allowed.

I think Vladdy gets a hold of one today and sends it into the bleachers, and for + money, this is a prop that I think has great value.

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prop Pick

1 Unit Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Article Author

MLBNBANFL

MJC Locks specializes in player props for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. With a background in statistics, MJC uses an analytical approach to his research to find value in the market. You can follow MJC over on Twitter @MJCLocks.

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