Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Yesterday, we saw a bunch of games go Under the total. That never helps these home run props. Eventually, the tide will turn, and we'll see plenty of runs once the summer gets here!
Tonight's slate consists of just five games. But I've still identified a few spots for our home run props.
May 16 Best MLB Home Run Props
Francisco Lindor to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Taijuan Walker will get the start for the Phillies tonight. He's a righty who has allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .432 to his first 41 lefties this season.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Francisco Lindor, who is a switch-hitter. But he'll bat left-handed against Walker in tonight's showdown.
Lindor has a .180 ISO against righties this season. He's also struck out only 17.3% of the time against righties as a left-handed batter.
In addition, Lindor has hit nearly 35% of fly balls against righties and has also knocked a 53.2% hard contact rate with a 9.2% barrel percentage.
This is a good spot for Lindor to go deep.
Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Red Sox have penciled in Cooper Criswell for tonight's start against the Rays. Criswell is a right-handed pitcher who has struggled way more against righties to begin the season.
Criswell has given up a .250 ISO and wOBA of .319 to his first 42 righties this season. He's also allowed more than 24% of line drives to righties and has added 7.7% of swinging strikes against them.
He'll face Isaac Paredes in the Tampa Bay lineup, who has absolutely crushed righties to begin the season. Paredes has smacked a .245 ISO and .399 wOBA with only 14.1% of strikeouts against righties this season.
There's not a ton of power in the Tampa Bay lineup. However, Paredes is one of the few that has been consistent this year.
Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+360) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Kyle Tucker has hit a .298 ISO and wOBA of .412 against righties this season. He's also struck out only 15.8% of the time and has hit 40.8% of fly balls, 30.3% of line drives, and 61.8% of hard contact against righties.
Tonight, he'll go up against Oakland's Joey Estes. Estes threw to 25 lefties last season and allowed a .435 ISO and wOBA of .466.
This year, against his first eight lefties, he's given up a .500 ISO and wOBA of . 421.
Therefore, we've got to ride Kyle Tucker for tonight's matchup against Oakland.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Francisco Lindor to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.