Washington Football Team vs Philadelphia Eagles Week 15 Player Prop Picks: A Jalen Hurts Passing Prop
Washington Football Team vs Philadelphia Eagles Week 15 Player Prop Picks: A Jalen Hurts Passing Prop
The Washington Football Team and the Philadelphia Eagles find themselves in the middle of a highly competitive race for a 7th place finish in the NFC and a playoff berth. Both squads are sitting at 6-7 heading into today’s matchup, which puts the winner on track to have a shot at the postseason and the loser on track to have a better draft pick.
The Eagles are 4-2 in their last six games and are 8.5-point home favorites tonight. For an NFC East duel between two playoff hopefuls, I’ll dish out my favorite player prop from Tuesday’s slate. Let’s roll!
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Jalen Hurts Under 193.5 Passing Yards (-115 @ DraftKings)
Jalen Hurts has struggled as a passer this season. The Eagles’ rushing attack, led by Hurts and company, has been the driving force in their recent success. Hurts had a pair of 300-yard passing performances in the first month of the season but Head Coach Nick Sirianni has dialed back the usage of Hurts’ arm as the season has progressed.
Hurts averaged 36.4 Pass Attempts per game through Philly’s first five games of the season. However, over his last seven games, Hurts is throwing just 24.1 times per game. The Eagles’ offense scored 23 points per game during that early stretch of the season, but since the team leaned on their ground game more, they’ve scored 27 PPG.
Before I tell you how great Philly’s ground game is, I will say that Hurts has hit the under on this line in 5 straight games and has remained below the 200-yard mark in 7 of his last 8 games.
Additionally, Philadelphia has the 2nd-ranked rushing offense in the NFL this season, trailing only Jonathan Taylor and the Colts. Their 31.7 rushing attempts and 5.0 yards/carry each rank top two in the league, not to mention their first-ranked 51% run rate. The Eagles are the only offense that runs the ball on more than half of their offensive snaps. And, they’ve run more than they’ve thrown in six consecutive weeks, sporting a ridiculous 64.5% run rate over their last six games. Something is clearly working for the Birds, though. They’ve dropped 30+ points on their opponents’ heads in four of their last six games, and I’d expect a similar offensive approach on Tuesday Night Football.
The Eagles’ success is key for the success of this bet, and Philly coming in favored by more than a touchdown is huge for us. Hurts has thrown for less than 200 yards in 8 of 9 games when the Eagles win or lose by one score. With Garrett Gilbert potentially starting at QB for Washington (not to mention being down several other starters), I don’t see an Eagles blowout loss in the cards tonight.
Philly’s second-year quarterback is averaging 21.8 pass attempts and 143.8 yards per game since Halloween. His 71.6 passer rating during this stretch shows that the team is better off when they lean on his legs, and not his arm. I’m expecting the Eagles to play safe tonight and make Washington beat them offensively, so expect very few passing plays drawn up from Philly. Good luck if you’re tailing this play and let’s enjoy some Tuesday Night Football!