NBA Playoffs Props for Tonight: Two Props to Target for Warriors vs. Kings Game 3 (4/20)
NBA Playoffs Props for Tonight: Two Props to Target for Warriors vs. Kings Game 3 (4/20)
We're in the midst of one of the most entertaining first-round NBA playoff series in recent memory. After the Domantas Sabonis-Draymond Green fiasco that over-shadowed Sacramento's Game 2 Win, the Kings are in San Francisco to face the Draymond-less Warriors tonight.
If Golden State wants any hope of storming back to win the series, they'll need a big home win as 6-point favorites this evening.
Let's jump into today's picks!
Thursday, April 20 NBA Props
Andrew Wiggins Over 18.5 Points (-105) (Bet $105 to Collect $205) Get these odds at FanDuel now
The Golden State Warriors will obviously be without Draymond Green tonight. That further locked Andrew Wiggins into a huge role as the team's best defensive forward and second or third scoring option on offense.
Wiggins was a significant bright spot for the Dubs in Game 2. He finished with 22 points in 39 minutes despite shooting 2-for-8 from three-point land and getting to the free-throw line just twice. I'd be shocked if Wiggins doesn't play 36-40 minutes again tonight, and he'll continue to be the Warriors' primary source of rim pressure.
The former first-overall draft pick has played at least 32 minutes in 18 games this season. He's scored 18+ points in 14 of these games, averaging 21.5 PPG. Wiggins is averaging 23.7 points per 36 minutes in five games against Sacramento this season, and I love his chances of pouring in 20-plus tonight.
Golden State Warriors Under 19.5 Three Pointers Made (-130) (Bet $130 to Collect $230) Head over to DraftKings to get these odds
You might think I'm insane for loving this spot as the Warriors return home for Game 3. And, that's ok. But, you have to hear me out.
This number is huge. And I mean huge. As well as Golden State shoots the ball from deep, they made just 16.6 threes per game this season. Sure, that increased to 17.1 per game at home, but that's not enough to warrant this line.
In six games against the Kings this season, Golden State has failed to knock down more than 16 threes in any game. The Warriors have converted 14, 14, 16, 16, 16, and 13 three-pointers in their meetings with the Kings, good for an average of only 14.8 3PM per game.
You may be concerned about the absence of Draymond Green, a non-shooter, tonight. Don't be. Even though the Warriors will be able to replace Green's minutes with players who shoot more, that won't result in more made threes. Kevon Looney will play more, and so will Jonathan Kuminga. Looney doesn't shoot any jumpers, and Kuminga isn't a reliable shooter from range. Plus, Draymond is incredibly good at setting Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson up for better looks, and the team will be without his facilitating.
This under has cashed in 65 of the Dubs' 84 games this season, including 40 of 51 games with both Steph and Klay active. This line is set way too high, even for the greatest three-point shooting team in league history.