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The Toronto Blue Jays will welcome the Boston Red Sox on Monday night for an AL East clash. Can Vladimir Guerrero Jr. go deep against the Sox in the opening game of the series? MJC Locks provides his top player prop picks for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prop Pick: Can Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Deliver on Monday Night?

The Boston Red Sox travel to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays on Monday Night and I have a play that I am really liking in this game. I am looking to target Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to have a big night and potentially go yard against Nick Pivetta and the Sox.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: June 17, 2024
  • Start Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings, NESN

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Vladdy has been quietly having a really nice season, despite his team's offensive struggles. He owns a .302 expected batting average and .201 expected ISO against right-handed pitching this season. He has gone over his hits, runs, rbis line in 12 of his last 19 home games and is hitting .318 at home so far this season. Vladdy has played extremely well against the division rival Blue Jays as of late, going for two or more hits, runs, rbi's in seven of the last 11 games, and hitting five homeruns in the last 10 games.

I like the matchup today vs. righty Nick Pivetta. Pivetta has given up plenty of hard contact this season, ranking in the 23rd percentile in barrel percentage and 14th percentile in ground ball%. On the road this season, Pivetta has allowed a .256 batting average and .306 iso against right-handed batters. Guerrero has had some success against him throughout his career, hitting two homeruns over the last five matchups.

Additionally, Monday's tend to be travel days for some teams coming off series finale games. Boston had to travel to Toronto while Toronto stayed at home, which gives them a slight advantage here. Vladdy has hit this hits, runs, rbi's line in five of his last seven Monday games. Look for him to have a nice game today and potentially go yard.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prop Picks

1 Unit Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

0.25 Unit Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Homerun (+410) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays SYSTEM PROJECTIONS - JUNE 17

MLB ODDS

Article Author

MLBNBANFL

MJC Locks specializes in player props for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. With a background in statistics, MJC uses an analytical approach to his research to find value in the market. You can follow MJC over on Twitter @MJCLocks.

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