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NFL Win Total Odds: Who Is The Favorite To Win Each Division?

This week, Matt MacKay breaks down the 2022 win total odds for all 32 NFL teams and the current odds for the eight projected division winners.
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NFL Win Total Odds: Who Is The Favorite To Win Each Division?

This week, Matt MacKay breaks down the 2022 win total odds for all 32 NFL teams and the current odds for the eight projected division winners.

NFL Win Total Odds

TeamRegular Season WinsOver OddsUnder Odds
ARI8.5-105-115
ATL5+120-140
BAL9.5-150+125
BUF11.5-140+120
CAR6+105-125
CHI6.5+100-120
CIN10+105-125
CLE---
DAL10-110-110
DEN10-120+100
DET6.5-115-105
GB11-110-110
HOU4.5+100-120
IND9.5-140+120
JAX6-120+100
KC10.5-110-110
LAC10-130+110
LAR10.5-110-110
LVR8.5-120+100
MIA9+105-125
MIN9-115-105
NE8.5-115-105
NO8-135+115
NYG7+105-125
NYJ5.5-165+135
PHI9.5-120+100
PIT7.5+110-130
SEA5.5-140+120
SF10+100-120
TB11.5+100-120
TEN9+100-120
WAS8-110-110

Less than three months separate until the 2022 NFL regular season kicks off in SoFi Stadium with the Los Angeles Rams hosting the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are the betting favorites (+600) to win Super Bowl LVII, so it's not surprising to see oddsmakers favoring them to win over 11.5 games in 2022.

Meanwhile, the Rams are coming down off of their Super Bowl win over the Cincinnatti Bengals, but they're getting equal odds at -110 for their 10.5 game win total. This indicates that oddsmakers are higher on the Bills than the Rams in 2022, despite giving Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay the fifth-best odds to win again at +1100.

Other notable team win total odds include the Denver Broncos team getting -120 to win over 10 games in a difficult AFC West division, Pittsburgh getting -130 to win under 7.5 games, and Arizona only getting -115 on under 8.5 wins after signing wide receiver Marquise "Hollywood" Brown.

Let's take a look at the eight teams receiving the best odds to win their division during the upcoming 2022 NFL season.

NFL Division Winner Odds

DivisionProjected WinnerOdds
AFC SouthIND Colts-125
AFC EastBUF Bills-225
AFC NorthBAL Ravens+185
AFC WestKC Chiefs+175
NFC SouthTB Buccaneers-300
NFC EastDAL Cowboys+130
NFC NorthGB Packers-175
NFC WestLA Rams+125

AFC West: Colts (-125) (Bet $125 to win $100)

Indianapolis showed patience by waiting to sign veteran quarterback, Matt Ryan, in hopes of rejuvenating an offense built to win a Super Bowl in 2022. Jonathan Taylor will continue dominating the backfield and an underrated defense led by Darius Leonard and DeForest Buckner make the Colts a complete team. They also benefit from playing in the weakest division with Houston, Jacksonville, and Tennessee all undergoing rebuilds.

AFC East: Bills (-225) (Bet $225 to win $100)

No surprise here. The Buffalo Bills have quickly become the darling of the league and star quarterback Josh Allen is hungry to justify the hype. The departure of former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll could slow the offense early but the additions of rookies James Cook and Kaiir Elam bolster both sides of the roster. Miami made a lot of improvements as well but they are all the way down at +450 as the AFC East runner-up, so betting Buffalo projects to be an easy lock.

AFC North: Ravens (+185) (Bet $100 to win $185)

We finally have a bit of drama with Baltimore usurping the 2021 AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals. A healthy J.K. Dobbins and Lamar Jackson will make all of the difference between last year's 8-9 record that resulted in a fourth-place finish. Vegas oddsmakers expect Baltimore to hit over 9.5 wins (-150) to yield at least a 10-7 finish in 2022.

AFC West: Chiefs (+175) (Bet $100 to win $175)

No Tyreek? No problem. Andy Reid committed to an overhaul of Kansas City's offense for 2022, including a wide receiving corps that is now comprised of Marquez Valdes-Scantling, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman, Skyy Moore, and Justyn Ross. Two late first-round picks shored up the Chiefs' edge rushing and defensive backfield, signaling that Patrick Mahomes and company are ready to avenge their AFC Championship loss to the Bengals.

NFC South: Buccaneers (-300) (Bet $300 to win $100)

Tampa Bay finds themselves as the biggest divisional bettin favorite in 2022. Tom Brady's brief retirement is in the distant past now. While Rob Gronkowski's return cannot be confirmed yet, signing former Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Russell Gage is another quality weapon for Brady to throw to during Chris Godwin's rehab. Interim head coach Byron Leftwich inherits a fantastic roster in a division where Carolina and Atlanta are not expected to win more than five games. Expect the Bucs to be among the first to solidify a playoff seed in 2022.

NFC East: Cowboys (+130) (Bet $100 to win $130)

This could be considered a bit of a surprise considering the improvements Philadelphia made in comparison to Dallas this offseason. Big things are needed from wide receiver CeeDee Lamb during his third year in Dallas, while tight end Dalton Schultz burst onto the scene and could dominate opposing defenses early and often. Dak Prescott was protected in 2021 and held to limited rushing opportunities, while Ezekiel Elliot struggled to maintain his early-career efficiency. Will this repeat in 2022 or will Dallas rely on its defense led by ROTY Micah Parsons? Either way, the NFC East will once again revolve around the Cowboys and Eagles.

NFC North: Packers (-175) (Bet $175 to win $100)

Losing star wide receiver Davante Adams will send ripple effects through the Green Bay Packers offense in 2022. Good thing they still have Aaron Rodgers, the back-to-back MVP, under center executing plays. The Packers used a pair of first-round draft picks on their defensive front-seven but used a second-round pick on Christian Watson, who is a big-framed, 6-4 wideout who will attempt to replace Adams. The saving grace in Green Bay is the running back tandem composed of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Minnesota could challenge the Packers for the NFC North crown in 2022 but Rodgers has an improved defense and a reliable backfield to bail out his underwhelming weapons in the receiving game.

NFC West: Rams (+125) (Bet $100 to win $125)

Even the reigning champions are getting plus-odds to win the NFC West again in 2022. San Francisco is +160 with rumors of Trey Lance preparing to make the leap as their new-look franchise quarterback. The Rams signed wide receiver Allen Robinson and could also wind up bringing back Odell Beckham Jr., pairing them alongside star wide receiver Cooper Kupp. Retaining Aaron Donald was the biggest win of the Rams' offseason thus far, with the signing of linebacker Bobby Wagner not far behind. Arizona and Seattle are not expected to be real contenders within the division, so it comes down to whether Stafford can replicate 2021. The Rams are enticing as division favorites at +125 due to Stafford and McVay's confidence and experience.

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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.

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