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The 2024 Kentucky Derby will get off to the races on Saturday evening. Can Catching Freedom find a way to upset the top horses in the field at Churchill Downs? Krabs provides his prediction and pick for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.
ANALYSIS

2024 Kentucky Derby Prediction: Can Catching Freedom Make a Run at Churchill Downs

Everyone is talking about the Kentucky Derby today. Wouldn’t it be cool if you pick the one winner out of twenty horses in this year’s race? That would surely impress your betting group chat if you’re able to send in a winning slip after the Derby…

KENTUCKY Derby DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 4, 2024
  • Time: 6:57 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC, NBCSports, Peacock, USA

2024 Kentucky Derby Prediction

I don’t know about you, but I’m seeing everyone try to be a meteorologist instead of trying to find the winning horse on Saturday. I’m now hearing there’s a solid chance that rain might not even be a factor at all at Churchill Downs on Saturday. Let’s focus on the ponies instead of trying to handicap the weather. I’ve got a horse that, if the race plays out how I expect, has a great chance to come from behind and win this race.

I’m predicting a fast running at the Derby this year. There are a lot of great horses who can get out to fast starts, but will they have the stamina to hold their positions down the stretch? Horses like Catalytic (30-1) like to press the pace. I can see this horse taking the lead early with a great start, pushing the pace of this race and speeding it up.

If this race ends up being fast, I really like Catching Freedom (7-1) to rally late. He is the best closer in this race, and if it ends up being fast enough, I like his chances to come from behind in the Derby. This is one of the most slept on, least talked about horses in the Derby. In this colt’s five starts, he’s won three races and showed once, finishing third. I like his chances on Saturday as one of the sleeper picks in this year’s Kentucky Derby.

Catching Freedom has one of the best trainers around, Kentucky-local Brad Cox. This is the same trainer who prepared Mandaloun for the Derby, who has now officially won the 2021 Derby after Medina Spirit was disqualified in February. Cox is one of the best trainers around, don’t be surprised if one of his two horses in this year’s Derby wins again. Back the best closer in the Derby this year; let’s cash a 7-1 ticket.

2024 Kentucky Derby Pick

Pick: Catching Freedom (7-1) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

WIN A $25 GIFT CARD ON THE KENTUCKY DERBY

Think you know what is going to happen at the Kentucky Derby on Saturday? Make your picks below for your chance to win a $25 gift card if you get a perfect score!

Article Author

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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