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The Indiana Pacers are set to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night in Game 6. Will Myles Turner get shut down from long range against the Bucks? MJC Locks provides his top prop pick in Bucks vs. Pacers.
ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Prop Pick: Can Myles Turner, Pacers Bounce Back in Game 6?

The Pacers are looking to close out the series at home on Thursday night, but who will be doing the scoring? Let's target Myles Turner to have a rough shooting night when covered by Khris Middleton instead of Brook Lopez.

BUCKS VS. PACERS GAME 4 DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 2, 2024
  • Start Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: TNT, Max

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction

Myles Turner killed Milwaukee from three in Games 1-4, shooting 3-for-9, 3-for-6, 4-for-10, and 7-for-8, before only going 1-for-4 last game. Brook Lopez drop coverage is the main reason he’s been able to get so many open looks from three.

The reason for this dip in 3PAs can be explained by the Bucks making some adjustments. Turner came out in the first half guarded by Brook Lopez (again) and shot 1-for-3 from 3. In the second half, the Bucks opted to switch Brook Lopez off Turner and we saw more of Middleton guarding him, which led to less time spent around the perimeter and more post-ups. He went just 0-for-1 in the second half.

After the game Myles said in an interview, “In the first half I kinda spent a little too much time around the perimeter, in the second half I started to assert myself a little more, and that's just what I have to do…that’s part of a playoff series. They’re not gonna let me just keep shooting three's for the entire series.”

Doc also made a comment in a postgame interview, “But I thought taking away their 3s was huge for us tonight. They had such a big advantage on us in this series from that line and tonight I think they made one more than us. That was really important.”

This game plan clearly worked well for them and they were able to slow down the pace, which is not what Indiana is trying to do. I’m expecting them to keep a similar game plan in Game 6, and think we see Myles take six or less threes. When he does this, he’s under 2.5 threes in 61 of 68 games this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction

1 Unit Pick: Myles Turner Under 2.5 Threes (-106) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

NBA ODDS

Article Author

MLBNBANFL

MJC Locks specializes in player props for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. With a background in statistics, MJC uses an analytical approach to his research to find value in the market. You can follow MJC over on Twitter @MJCLocks.

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