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Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho Odds, Date, How to Watch, and Predictions for UFC 301

UFC 301 is this Saturday in Rio de Janeiro and to kick off the main card Paul Craig fights Caio Borralho. Which fighter has the edge? Johnny Covers shares his Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho predictions and the latest odds.
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Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho Odds, Date, How to Watch, and Predictions for UFC 301

Looking for Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho odds? We got you covered!

For the 11th time in the promotion’s history, the UFC will return to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, for what once again should be a terrific night of fights. Following a historic UFC 300 just a few weeks ago, UFC 301 might lack the star power but is still stacked with great fights from top to bottom. 

The first fight of the main card is one of those fights, as 36-year-old Paul Craig takes on middleweight prospect Caio Borralho. Let’s take a closer look at both fighters, where the market is headed, and who I like to walk away from this one victorious. 

UFC 301 DATE, TIME AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 4th, 2024,
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
  • Where: Farmasi Arena, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
  • Where to Watch: PVV

Click here for the latest Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho odds

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Odds

When things opened up for this fight, Borralho was listed as a -355 favorite, with Craig coming in around +290. Since then, money has poured in on the favorite, as he now sits in the -550 range as of Tuesday.

FighterOddsTotal Rounds
Paul Craig+410O1.5 (-210)
Caio Borralho-550U1.5 (+160)

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Prediction

Paul Craig (17-7-1)

The move to middleweight for the Bear Jew proved to be a smart one last summer, winning his first fight in the division over Andre Muniz. Four months later, however, Brendan Allen got the best of him, choking him out in the third round as Craig comes into this one off of that loss. 

With 1.65 submissions per 15 minutes, Craig does hold the advantage on the ground in this one, something he’d be wise to take advantage of should the opportunities present themselves. 

Caio Borralho (15-1-0)

A DWCS product, Borralho picked up two wins during his time in the series, and in his first four fights officially under the banner, has won all four. Cracking the rankings with his most recent win over Abus Magomedov, Borrahlo now comes in as the division's hottest fighter, riding a 13-fight win streak that dates back to 2015.

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho Pick

While Craig will likely do everything in his power to get this one to the ground, the 57% takedown defense of Borralho will come into play from the start. Landing 2.73 significant strikes per minute, look for Borralho to crack early and often, and for either a Craig submission or Borralho KO to get this one done well before the final bell. 

Pick: Under 1.5 Rounds (+160) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho

How To Bet On Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho

Now that you have the low down on Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho, let’s take a closer look at the best promos for you to get in on the action.

WIN A $25 GIFT CARD ON UFC 301

Think you know what is going to happen at UFC 301 on Saturday? Make your picks below for your chance to win a $25 gift card if you get a perfect score!

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Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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