Valero Texas Open Prop Bets: Can Paul Barjon, Jhonattan Vegas Shine at TPC San Antonio?
Valero Texas Open Prop Bets: Can Jhonattan Vegas and Paul Barjon Shine at TPC San Antonio?
The prop article makes it's return this week, for the Valero Texas Open. Excitement is starting to build with the Masters just around the corner, but we've still got one more event to get through. It's the final opportunity for players in the field, that have yet to qualify for the Masters, to punch their ticket. This weeks test is TPC San Antonio, it's a long, demanding course which has proven a tough test for the players over the years. It's important to keep the ball in play off the tee but after that, it's all about iron play. This is a proper tee to green test and with the elements regularly playing it's part, scoring rarely gets out of hand.
Over the years we've seen a lot of players with ties to Texas raise their game in this event. It's definitely something worth taking into account and I'm looking to chance a couple in the side markets this week.
DATE, START TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: April 4 - 7, 2024
- Where: San Antonio, TX
- Where to Watch: Golf Channel, NBC, Peacock
Valero Texas Open Prop Bets
Paul Barjon Top 40 +6000 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Paul Barjon ended his 2023 Korn Ferry Tour season in the best possible fashion, closing with a win in his final event to secure his PGA Tour card. Since then, it's been pretty bleak for the Frenchman, making just one cut from seven starts. This is Barjon's second season on the PGA Tour, he didn't have much joy the first time round and lost his card. He'll need to start picking up some results sooner rather than later or else he could face the same fate. This week is basically a home game for him, he has family in San Antonio and regularly practices and plays at TPC when he's there.
Barjon is crying out for a decent result, having missed six consecutive cuts in a row. Last week he showed some promise. It was the first time he has gained off the tee and on approach since his last made cut at the American Express. He missed the cut by a shot and there will be plenty of positives to bring into this week on a course he knows well. He's yet to make the cut at TPC San Antonio on the PGA Tour although he has finished runner up there on the Korn Ferry Tour. I'm sure he will have this event circled on his calendar and he looks brilliant value to finish inside the top 40.
Paul Barjon First Round Leader +25000 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Tee time: 9:32am
Weather: There doesn't look like much of an advantage for either the morning or afternoon wave. Gusts of wind might pick up in the afternoon but I struggle to favour either side of the draw.
I couldn't resist a small bet on Barjon in the first round leader market. He has been known to come out hot in the past with low opening rounds on the DP, Korn Ferry and PGA Tour. Given his upturn in ballstriking last week I'm ready to roll the dice that he can come out hot on a familiar course.
Jhonattan Vegas Top South American +230 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
It was a difficult and disappointing 2023 season for PGA Tour veteran, Jhonattan Vegas. He had injuries to his wrist and elbow that kept him out of action for most of the year. It appears his injury problems are now behind him and he's back playing some solid golf again. He finished 22nd at the Phoenix Open where he ranked 2nd in ballstriking. He couldn't follow that performance up in Mexico and he was unfortunate to miss the cut at the Valspar. Last week it was a home game for him in Houston and after a final round of 65, finished 36th. He gained strokes off the tee and on approach for the third time in four starts. Vegas has always been known for his ballstriking and it looks to be returning to a high level in recent weeks. TPC San Antonio is a course that rewards the best ballstrikers so I was surprised when I found out his record here is pretty average. He has made the cut five times out of nine events and his best finish of 18th came on his last visit. That doesn't put me off, as he definitely possesses the skillset to play well here.
Vegas appeals in the outright market at massive odds, although the safer bet would be to back him in the Top South American market. Alejandro Tosti is the favourite, after his runner up finish last week, but I struggle to see him following up that performance. Nico Echavarria is the player I'm fearing the most, he got his win last year in Puerto Rico and looks to have settled at this level. He came into this event last year off the back of two missed cuts and finished T28th. He's an improving player and has a decent record in Texas, so he has to be respected. The other player in the market is, Camilo Villegas, who looks completely out of sorts after his strong finish to 2023. Given his upturn in ballstriking and experience on long, demanding golf courses, I find it tough to oppose Vegas in this market.
GOLF ODDS
Article Author
Bradley Todd is best known for his knowledge of golf on a global scale. He shares his bets across all the tours on his Patreon and has turned a profit of 700+ points for the last three years. He can also be found weekly on the Lost Fore Words podcast contributing his thoughts of the upcoming PGA/DPWT events.