The American Express Expert Picks: Our Experts' Longshot Picks

The American Express Expert Picks: Our Experts' Longshot Picks

After last week's Sony Open, our team of handicappers is back to give you another winner. Si Woo Kim took the crown at the Sony Open and was one of expert's longshot picks. Si Woo Kim was hit at +5000 odds, and if you're looking for another longshot this week at The American Express at La Quinta Country Club in California, you came to the right place.

The American Express field is interesting, as Jon Rahm comes in as the favorite, but there is plenty of value to be had with big names when it comes to The American Express odds.

Throughout the week, you've seen as we've rolled out our experts' favorite American Express picks, but if you're looking for something at a bigger price, then you've come to the right place!

Our team of expert golf handicappers has come up with their favorite The American Express longshot picks, coming our way at odds of +5000 or longer, and you don't want to miss some of the lottery tickets these guys have found on the odds board.

Looking for free bets for The American Express? We have over $5,000 in free bets just waiting to be claimed now!

The American Express Longshot Picks

Ben Taylor (+17000) (Bet $100 to collect $17,100)

After landing Si Woo Kim at 50/1 last week, it was between Jason Day and Ben Taylor heading into the American Express. I've decided to go with Taylor at a huge price. The Englishman is on some run. In his last three events, he has two top-five finishes on the PGA Tour. There's nothing too fancy to his game, with Greens in regulation and putting has been his main key to success in recent months. With his game in good shape and producing solid shots gained data in key aspects needed for the American Express, he's worth chancing at this price.

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Sahith Theegala (+6000) (Bet $100 to collect $6,100)

There have always been high hopes for Sahith Theegala following his fine college career at Pepperdine, which only increased last season! Theegala was the 54-hole leader at the Phoenix Open but lost out to Scottie Scheffler. He led at the Pete Dye-designed TPC River Highlands but double-bogeyed the last hole to gift Xander Schauffele the Travelers Championship. Then most recently, he finished 2nd behind Adam Svensson at the RSM Classic.

That means he’s had a chance to win at a desert course, a Pete Dye course, and at an event where multiple courses are used. That should make The American Express the perfect place for him to break through, as it is played in Palm Springs, predominantly on a Pete Dye course, in an event where three courses are in the rotation.

Theegala loves a birdie-fest, and this is exactly what this is. He finished 33rd here last year, but was 11th going into the final round, helped largely by a Friday 62 at the Nicklaus Course. A 72 at La Quinta on day one and a 75 final round ruined any chances of contending. Still, he has more than enough ability to tear La Quinta apart this time around, and his 3rd round 68 at the Stadium Course last year suggests the 75 final round can be bettered.

Bet on this high-upside talent to win this week at 60-1

-- Tom Jacobs (@TomJacobs93)

Sahith Theegala (+6000) (Bet $100 to collect $6,100)

Palm Springs has always been a bit of a wild card on the PGA tour. The shorter track/putting contest is ideal for Theegala to crash the winners circle for the first time. He can excel on shorter tracks, and the Pepperdine University grad should be very familiar with all that The American Express has to offer.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Best Sportsbook Offers

1. DRAFTKINGS: Bet $5, Get $200 INSTANTLY on ANY sport
2. FANDUEL: Bet $5, Get $150 GUARANTEED. Win or Lose
3. POINTSBET: Get up to FIVE second-chance bets. Up to $100 EACH

JT Poston (+9000) (Bet $100 to collect $9,100)

Poston is rounding into form, notching exactly a T21 finish in each of his last three starts. His long game is dialed-in, gaining strokes both off-the-tee and on approach in each of those three events. The only thing he's struggled with is the putter, which is not usually a problem when he gets to Palm Springs. He feels "close" to putting it all together; this could be the week.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Taylor Pendrith (+10000) (Bet $100 to collect $10,100)

In an event that has been extremely kind to long shots over the past couple of years, I am happy to take a chance on Taylor Pendrith at +10000. This Canadian's 2022 season was plagued with injury, but he showed serious form when healthy. 

With a 13th-place finish at the Players, 2nd place at Rocket Mortgage, and 8th at the BMW, I think his upside will show in 2023. I am extremely high on his talent and do not believe that he should be at triple-digit odds in any field. 

This 2022 Presidents Cup player ranks 3rd in this field in SG: OTT and 8th in Ball-Striking over the past 50 rounds. This is a very easy bet to make at +10000 on a golfer I think is due for a big season. 

-- Brian Kirschner (@BrianKirschner_) 

Byeong Hun An (+20000) (Bet $100 to collect $20,100)

Benny An is back amongst the best on the PGA Tour, and he’s marked his return with some solid results. He finished T4th at the Fortinet, T17th in Bermuda, and T12th at the Sony Open last week. Looking at that result at the Sony Open, he heavily relied on his flat stick, where he ranked 3rd in the field for SG:Putting. Given that’s usually the weakest club in his bag, that certainly caught my eye, and he’ll need it to remain hot if he’s to have any chance this week. Benny showed up at this event in the past, finishing 8th back in 2021. He’s got plenty of form in the desert, with multiple top 5 and 10 finishes in the middle east and two top 10 finishes at the Phoenix Open. Potentially inspired and motivated by Tom and Si Woo Kim’s recent success, I can’t pass chancing Benny An at 200/1.

-- Bradley Todd (@Bradley_Todd)

Cam Davis (+5500) (Bet $100 to collect $5,600)

I will continue to ride the young Australian any time he finds himself on a wide-open golf course where his aggressive driving is rewarded and players are required to generate scoring opportunities at a high rate. Davis ranks 7th in birdies or better gained, is one of the best short to middle irons in this field, and can already boast a third-place finish at this event last year where on two rounds at the Stadium Course, he gained over 5 strokes both on approach and with the putter. His ball striking looked fantastic last week at Waialae, and I expect him to continue his positive momentum and find himself squarely in the mix come Sunday in Palm Springs.

-- Andy Lack (@adplacksports)

Cam Davis (+5500) (Bet $100 to collect $5,600)

While Cam Davis barely slips in the long-shot category, the 55/1 available on BetMGM provides us with some good value here. The three-course rotation, combined with the lack of shot link data (outside of The Stadium Course), makes this tournament fairly unpredictable and a chance for long-shots to come through. He has 3 straight top 30 finishes at this tournament, including a 3rd place finish last year, where he gained over 5 strokes putting. Last week he was 2nd off the tee and first in Eagles, but wasn’t consistent enough to get the job done. His length off the tee and Eagle ability should give him a good opportunity to keep up with the high-scoring conditions, and if we see consistency from the putter, then I think he has a good chance of competing on Sunday. Since 2016, he’s second in this field in birdies-or-better at The American Express. -- Stuart Durst (@MonotoneFootbal)

Are you already signed up at DraftKings and FanDuel? Click "CLAIM NOW" on the amazing offer below for a new place to bet!