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Paul Craig and Caio Borralho open up UFC 301's stacked main event. How will this fight shape up? Matt McCuen shares his Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho prediction, betting pick, and latest odds.
ANALYSIS

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho Prediction, Betting Pick, and Latest Odds for UFC 301

We have a loaded UFC Card on Saturday.

We will dive into a fight between Paul Craig and Caio Borralho.

This should be one of the best fights on the card.

Craig vs. Borralho UFC 301 DATE, TIME AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 4th, 2024,
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: PPV

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Prediction

Craig comes into this fight as a heavy +470 underdog.

It is rare to see Craig priced at +470.

The 36-year-old brings a record of 17-7-1.

He has struggled as of late.

Craig has lost three of his last four fights.

His last win came on July 22nd against Andre Muniz.

Borralho is a -650 favorite in this fight.

He has been terrific, with a 15-1-1 record in his career.

The 31-year-old has been one of the best in the game.

Borralho has not lost a fight since July 18th, 2015.

He has won 14 of his last 15 fights, with one being a tie.

Borralho last fought on November 4th, 2023, against Abus Magomedov.

Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho UFC 301 Pick

We will sip on the juice and ride the over tonight.

This line should be in the range of -300, so I still find value in this line.

Craig is an experienced fighter who will be smart early in this fight.

These fighters are both difficult to knock out, and we will see the over-cash tonight.

Pick: Borralho/Craig over 1.5 rounds -190 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Article Author

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Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.

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