Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
After a +750 hit on Tuesday, we responded with two home runs last night, including Rowdy Tellez (+500) and Riley Greene (+470).
But the real fireworks are tonight!
Let's cash in on another long ball with three more home run props that you'll want to consider below.
July 4 Best MLB Home Run Props
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+390) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Miami Marlins will throw righty Kyle Tyler for today's game against the Red Sox. Tyler has only thrown to 43 batters, including 21 lefties. However, those 21 lefties have hit a .308 ISO and wOBA of .518 with 30% of ground balls and 50% of line drives.
Additionally, Tyler has only earned 17.6% of strikeouts against lefties over the last month.
He'll battle against some lethal lefties in the Boston lineup. Nobody is more lethal than Rafael Devers, who has hit a .283 ISO and wOBA of .399 with only 14.8% of strikeouts against righties in the last 30 days.
Devers has hit 30.4% of fly balls against righties and smacked a 65.2% hard contact rate with a 13% barrel percentage in the last month. Back Devers to go deep.
Alec Bohm to Hit a Home Run (+520) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
chas destroyed right-handed pitching as a right-handed batter over the last 30 days. Bohm has hit a .246 ISO and wOBA of .426 with just 19.5% of strikeouts against righties in the last month. He's also hit 28.3% of fly balls with 28.3% of line drives and has smacked 45.3% of hard contact with a 9.4% barrel percentage in the last 30 days. He's even limited ground balls to 35.8% in that time against righties. Lucky for Bohm, he'll face Jameson Taillon, who has allowed a .215 ISO and wOBA of .373 to his last 67 righties as a right-handed pitcher. Taillon has only struck out 20.9% of righties and has given up more line drives and fly balls than ground balls induced. Give Bohm a shot today.
Taylor Ward to Hit a Home Run (+520) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Taylor Ward has crushed lefties in his last 13 plate apperances against them. He's hit a .636 ISO and wOBA of .664 with only 7.7% of strikeouts against lefties over the last 30 days. He's also smacked 40% of fly balls and 30% of line drives with a 60% hard contact rate and a 40% barrel percentage. Yes, it's a small sample size. But these numbers are super encouraging. After all, he's taking on JP Sears of the Athletics, who has allowed a .268 ISO and wOBA of .459 with only 13.3% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days. Ward has a lot of potential to go deep today.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
- Alec Bohm to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Taylor Ward to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
WIN A $25 GIFT CARD ON THE MLB
Think you know what is going to happen on Thursday's MLB slate? Make your picks below for your chance to win a $25 gift card if you get a perfect score!
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.