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The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the struggling Miami Marlins on Monday night. Will they break out of their slump against Walker Buehler and the Dodgers in his first start back from injury? Krabs provides his prediction and pick for Marlins vs. Dodgers.
ANALYSIS

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Can Marlins Spoil Walker Buehler's Return to Dodgers?

The series between the Marlins and Dodgers starting tonight includes debatably the worst and best team in all of baseball. The Marlins are coming off a 12-run scoring outburst against the A’s on Sunday. Will Miami’s bats stay hot against Walker Buehler in his 2024 debut?

MARLINS VS. Dodgers DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 6, 2024
  • Start Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

We’ve seen even the best starting pitchers in baseball struggle in their return from injury. Who’s to say Walker Buehler won’t in his return to the mound for the Dodgers tonight? I’m not rooting on his downfall, but I certainly would be shocked if he throws a gem in his first start of the season, especially after Miami’s offensive outburst on Sunday. The Dodgers have also been known to succumbing to let-down spots, and a series against one of baseball’s worst teams at home is the definition of that scenario. Remember when the Dodgers got swept by the Pirates at home last year…

I know it’s a lot to ask for the Miami Marlins to pull off the victory on Monday night, but I’m not betting them on the moneyline. Instead, let’s isolate the F5 innings in this contest. Roddery Munoz has looked sharp for the Marlins in his two 2024 starts. If he pitches like he did against Colorado last Wednesday, he can limit the damage from the Dodgers offensively in the first half of this matchup. I wouldn’t be surprised if both Munoz and Buehler end up with similar stat-lines tonight. Buehler is obviously the superior pitcher, but in his first start of the season, I could see him struggling at times as he shakes the rust off.

Instead of backing Miami on the moneyline at (+265), let’s take them on the F5 runline. You can grab Miami +1.5 through the F5 innings at (-110) odds. With an 8.5 total, there will be some runs in this contest tonight. If oddsmakers were expecting Buehler to deal in his return, they wouldn’t have set this game with the highest total on the slate tonight. Fade the Dodgers right-hander in his return to the mound for the first time this season as he shakes the rust off. Miami’s offensive performance on Sunday showed me enough to believe in them for one more night…

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

Pick: MIA F5 +1.5 (-110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

MLB ODDS

Article Author

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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