Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Can the Bats Get to Simeon Woods Richardson, Michael Soroka?
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Can the Bats Get to Simeon Woods Richardson, Michael Soroka?
Today the Minnesota Twins play in Chicago against the White Sox. For Minnesota the most noteworthy split today is their .264 batting average in night games, fourth in the league. This is 25 points higher than their overall average. That bodes well. Day of the week splits are starting to paint a clearer picture and on Tuesdays the White Sox have the eighth best batting average at .270.
Twins vs. White Sox DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: April 30, 2024
- Start Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: MLB TV
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction
Simeon Woods Richardson is off to a nice start with a 1-0 record and 2.45 ERA in two starts (one of which against the White Sox). His advanced metric though are absolutely rough. He is almost guaranteed to experience some serious regression. Some advanced stat percentages can be subjective player to player in terms of their impact.
For pitchers however, having a high line drive rate is never good. Woods Richardson has a sky high 35.5% line drive rate, 12 points higher than the MLB average. These line drives aren't coming at the expense of fly balls either, his ground ball rate is only 29 percent, 16.5 percent below the league average. This is while having a league average hard hit rate.
For reference, there is not a single qualified pitcher with a worse line drive to ground ball ratio in the league. His start against the White Sox was decent five innings two runs but his second time seeing them and on the road with the most favorable splits you are going to find the White Sox in, I think he's in for a rough night.
As for Michael Soroka, his numbers are actually right around the league average in everything which is good. Obviously though, two major advanced stats that are not good are strike out percentage and strikeout to walk ratio. Soroka has the worst strikeout percentage of qualified starters at 9.8 percent and the second worst walk percentage at 12.8%. The Twins are going to see pitches to hit and see them with runners on base.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick
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