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The New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals open their three game series tonight. Can Luis Severino shit down the Royals? The Professor answers.
ANALYSIS

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction: Can Luis Severino Shut Down the Royals?

The New York Mets host the Kansas City Royals tonight for the first game of their three-game series. Luis Severino will take the mound for the Mets and will have his hands full against a Royals’ offense that comes into this game red hot.

Royals vs. Mets DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: April 12, 2024
  • Start Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: SNY, MLB Extra Innings

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Royals have put up double digit runs on the scoreboard in each of their last two outings and currently rank seventh in wRC+ (117) against right-handed pitchers. They also have the seventh lowest strikeout percentage against right-handed pitchers and are above league average in pitchers seen per plate appearance.

Severino has only gone five innings in each of his first two starts this season and struggled pitching deep into games last season. In 2023, Severino failed to recorded 18+ outs in 13 of his 18 starts.

Today, I’m taking the under on his 17.5 pitching outs because I think there’s a good chance the Royals’ offense stays hot and forces the Mets’ to call on their bullpen early. The Mets had their game postponed on Wendsday and defeated the Braves yesterday 16-4 which gave their bullpen some much needed rest. If Severino runs into trouble early they have arms ready to turn to the bullpen. Give me the under on Luis Severino’s 17.5 pitching outs.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Pick

Luis Severino U17.5 Outs (-130) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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The Professor is known for his data-driven cheat sheets and specializes in NFL, MLB, NBA player props. His passion for statistical analysis has helped him excel in the sports betting world and he brings that same passion to his picks on OddsChecker.

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