Oscars Odds: Nomadland, Chadwick Boseman, Daniel Kaluuya, The Expected Winners As Bettors Back Favorites
The Oscars are two weeks away. With the nominees set, oddsmakers and bettors have had plenty of time to settle into their winners for every award. Who will win Best Picture? Best Actor? Best Actress? Even Best Animated Film? Oddsmakers have their ideas.
Oddsmakers and bettors are in sync. Of the 13 categories on this list they agree on 10 of them. The three they don’t agree on? Well, those would be Best Actress, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Cinematography. So, keep an eye on those three categories as they may be the most wide open this year. That’s especially true for Best actress, where oddsmakers don’t have a single nominee with an implied chance of 50% or over.
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| Category | Nominee Odds | Public Betting Favorite |
|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | Nomadland (-300) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (+600) Minari (+1400) Promising Young Woman (+1600) Mank (+2800) Judas and the Black Messiah (+3300) The Father (+10000) | Nomadland (37.3%) |
| Best Actor | Chadwick Boseman (-1600) Anthony Hopkins (+800) Riz Ahmed (+1400) Gary Oldman (+2500) Steven Yeun (+2500) | Chadwick Boseman (51.4%) |
| Best Actress | Carey Mulligan (+138) Frances McDormand (+350) Andra Day (+600) Viola Davis (+1000) Vanessa Kirby (+1400) | Viola Davis (55.1%) |
| Best Supporting Actor | Daniel Kaluuya (-1400) Sacha Baron Cohen (+900) Leslie Odom Jr. (+1400) Paul Raci (+1400) LaKeith Stanfield (+2500) | Daniel Kaluuya (66.7%) |
| Best Supporting Actress | Youn Yuh-Jung (-250) Maria Baklova (+300) Glenn Close (+1000) Olivia Colman (+1000) Amanda Seyfried (+1700) | Youn Yuh-Jang (76.2%) |
| Best Adapted Screenplay | Nomadland (-350) The Father (+450) Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (+800) One Night in Miami (+1400) The White Tiger (+2800) | The Father (64.3%) |
| Best Animated Feature | Soul (-5000) Wolfwalkers (+700) Onward (+2000) Over the Moon (+2500) Shaun the Sheep: Farmageddon (+3300) | Soul (75%) |
| Best Animated Short | If Anything Happens I Love You (-275) Opera (+450) Burrow (+600) Genius Loci (+800) Yes People (+2500) | If Anything Happens (75%) |
| Best Cinematography | Nomadland (-275) Mank (+350) News of the World (+1200) Judas and the Black Messiah (+1600) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (+2000) | Mank (66.7%) |
| Best Director | Chloe Zhao (-2500) Davind Fincher (+1000) Lee Isaac Chung (+1600) Emerald Fennell (+1700) | Chloe Zhao (81%) |
| Best Documentary Feature | My Octopus Teacher (-175) Time (+250) Collective (+800) Crip Cramp (+1700) The Mole Agent (+4000) | My Octopus Teacher (64.3%) |
| Best International Feature | Another Round (-450) Quo Vidas, Aida (+550) Collective (+900) Better Days (+1800) The Man Who Sold His Skin (+2800) | Another Round (71.4%) |
| Best Original Screenplay | Promising Young Woman (-250) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (+175) Minari (+1400) Judas and the Black Messiah (+3300) Sound of Metal (+3300) | Promising Young Woman (51.7%) |
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