Kentucky Oaks Odds: A Look at the Odds for Every Horse in the Kentucky Oaks

Kentucky Oaks Odds: A Look at the Odds for Every Horse in the Kentucky Oaks

The Kentucky Oaks is going to be one of the best races of the year, and really it isn't a big surprise. This contest continuously shows up as a fun and exciting race, which is to be expected with the best 3 year old fillies shipping up or over to Churchill Downs. Here is my analysis on every horse in the race.

The Field for the 2024 Kentucky Oaks

#1 Tapit Jenallie (30-1 SCRATCHED)

I was not that high on this horse anyway, but she has scratched from the Kentucky Oaks and will not be running on Friday.

#2 Gin Gin (30-1)

I'm expecting a bit of a sloppy track today with a lot of rain hitting the Louisville area on Thursday night into Friday, and Gin Gin has run ok in the mud before. She won the Busanda Stakes at Aqueduct over a muddy track, and could get the same racing conditions today. I do fear that she's just a little too slow, though.

#3 Where's My Ring (15-1)

This is the "wise guy" horse of the day. Where's My Ring is 15-1 on the morning line and will certainly not be that high of odds once the gates open. She ran the lights out in the Gazelle over a fast track and will be a big time factor up front. I think she might get bet down a little too far for my liking, but she's a threat to wire this field. Expect her to be right up front from the jump.

#4 Regulatory Risk (20-1)

Regulatory Risk ran second behind Where's My Ring in the Gazelle last time out. She chased the early leader around the course and ended up running a nice time for the race, but came in second. The jump from her previous race to the Gazelle was significant. Can she back that up? I'm not super convinced, but she should be at higher odds.

#5 Thorpedo Anna (5-1)

When talking about Thorpedo Anna, trainer Kenny McPeek was quoted, "They better bring a bear (in the Oaks) because I’m bringing a grizzly. I wouldn’t be afraid to run her against the colts." That is some high praise, and it very well could be warranted. She has been taking a lot of early money, though, and might be the Kentucky Oaks favorite when it's all said and done.

#6 Lemon Muffin (30-1)

In the Fantasy Stakes, Lemon Muffin didn't do much running, but in the Honeybee prior to that dud, Lemon Muffin was terrific. If she gets a little bit of pace to run into, she could be dangerous to hit the board at a nice price.

#7 Fiona's Magic (30-1)

This filly won the Davona Dale Stakes, but never has run outside of the state of Florida. I am pretty biased against horses making their way north to run in Kentucky for the first time in the biggest race of the year (Oaks or Derby) and think that Fiona is just a little slow for this field.

#8 Tarifa (7-2)

Your early Oaks favorite! Tarifa has not done much wrong in her last three races, winning all of them - including a win over a sloppy track in the Rachel Alexandria at Fairgrounds. If her price floats up higher than her morning line odds (which it might, considering that Thorpedo Anna is taking some early), she is very live to win this race at a decent value.

#9 Everland (30-1)

Everland has made most of her races up in my neck of the woods at Turfway Park. I haven't been very impressed with her in terms of winning a race of this caliber. Her running style isn't going to benefit her too much in the slop, although she should have a good amount of pace to run into. Use her at your own risk - but she should be a very high price.

#10 Into Champagne (30-1)

Into Champagne ran third in the Gulfstream Park Oaks her last time, and I don't think really is that fast compared to some of the others in this field. The one good thing is that she has run well in the mud before, and could be live to outrun her odds in this race assuming similar wet racing conditions.

#11 Ways and Means (5-1)

This is a very dangerous horse in the Oaks. She is very live to win this race if she gets the right trip. Went a little too wide in the Gulfstream Park Oaks and ran a ho-hum 2nd, but has been consistently running speed figures that put her right into the mix for this race. It also can't hurt that Tyler Gaffalione, who won the Oaks last year on Pretty Mischievous, gets the mount.

#12 Power Squeeze (12-1)

Power Squeeze is my long shot play of the Oaks. She has won her last four races down in Florida, but also has tried tracks up in the Northeast and has run ok up there too. If she gets a little speed to run after, I think that she could be absolutely a long shot that could win this race.

#13 Just F Y I (9-2)

The 2 year old champion will make her second start as a 3 year old in the Kentucky Oaks. I saw her live in the Ashland at Keeneland and was very surprised that she wasn't the favorite in the race. She went off as the 3rd betting choice and did not really disappoint, running a solid 2nd behind Leslie's Rose. Now in her second race off the layoff, I think she could show the she is the very best 3 year old filly on dirt in the world. Her daddy Justify won big races in the slop, and I think that Just F Y I could follow in her father's hoof steps today.

#14 Leslie's Rose (4-1)

The winner of the Ashland was fantastic at Keeneland and will be dangerous to win the Oaks this year. She was very low odds in her first two races, disappointed in the Davona Dale, and then cashed in at 9-1 in the tougher grade 1 race. I don't know what to make of this horse, but I do believe that she's a serious player. I'm interested to see how she will take a wet track, though.

#15 Our Pretty Woman (15-1)

This alternate entry will draw into the race and I think be live to win it all. She has won two races - both on sloppy tracks, and should get similar conditions today. Speed figures weren't that impressive in any of her races, but if she get a good trip on a wet track, she could score at a big price. I think she is worth some betting money.

#16 Candied (20-1)

Candied was surprisingly the favorite in the Ashland and ran an ok 4th place. I still think this filly has talent and deserves to be in this field - she just has failed to get it done at short prices in her last two races, and I think that she may be up against it again in the Oaks. At a higher price like 20-1 I think she could be valuable, but if she gets bet down I won't touch her. Good luck!