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Academy Awards Odds & Betting: A Complete Breakdown of the 2021 Oscars

Complete betting odds and breakdown of the 2021 Academy Awards
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Academy Awards Odds & Betting: Complete Breakdown of 2021 Oscars

The 93rd Academy Awards, following their COVID-induced delay, are finally here and there are tons of different awards you can bet on. But, even if you’re not the betting type, the odds markets and public betting numbers can often tell you everything you need to know.

The 2021 Oscars are a star-studded event, like every other year, but what exactly can we expect with movie theaters closed for most of the past year? Well, lucky for you we’re breaking down a waide variety of awards and going deep into Oscars odds and betting, starting with best picture.

2021 Oscars – Best Picture Odds

1Best Picture OddsPublic Betting
Nomadland-60044.17%
The Trial Of The Chicago 7+60011.12%
Minari+14009.18%
Promising Young Women+17005.94%
Judas and the Black Messiah+33006.48%
Mank+33005.83%
Sound Of Metal+50002.92%
The Father+100004.64%

Oscars Odds - Best Picture Prediction

Like everyone, I'm going with Nomadland to win Best Picture. Besides the fact that it's one of just a few on this list that I've seen, I'm riding with both the betting public and the oddsmakers. The implied probability that this film wins the award is well clear of 80%. I think it takes home the Oscar on Sunday.

2021 Oscars – Best Actor Odds

1Best Actor OddsPublic Betting
Chadwick Boseman-160050.55%
Anthony Hopkins+70018.02%
Riz Ahmed+140012.97%
Steven Yeun+25003.96%
Gary Oldman+33003.74%

Oscars Odds: Best Actor Prediction

Another boring one from a competition standpoint, but not from an emotional one. Chadwick Boseman is going to win this award, as he should. Boseman, who passed away in August of 2020, will be just the second actor to ever win the Best Actor award posthumously if he is indeed victourious. The first and only other actor to do so was Peter Finch in 1977.

2021 Oscars – Best Actress Odds

1Best Actress OddsPublic Betting
Carey Mulligan+13824.07%
Viola Davis+20029.44%
Frances McDormand+40010.05%
Andra Day+60011.45%
Vanessa Kirby+20009.11%

Oscars Odds: Best Actress Prediction

I'm a little shocked to see Frances McDormand as the fourth most backed option in the Best Actress category for the 2021 Oscars. Nomadland comes in riding a hype train and she is fantastic in it. But, I'm going with the public here and picking my first upset. I think Viola Davis takes home the Oscar for Best Actress, nudging slight favorite Carey Mulligan.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actor Odds

1Best Supporting Actor OddsPublic Betting
Daniel Kaluuya-140056.83%
Sacha Baron Cohen+120015.83%
Paul Raci+140020.86%
Leslie Odom Jr.+17002.88%
LaKeith Stanfield+33002.16%

Oscars Odds: Best Suporting Actor Prediction

Back to some of the more lopsided Oscars with the Best Supporting Actor category. Daniel Kaluuya is an unbelievable actor and his performance in Judas and the Black Messiah deserves to win him the Oscar for Best Actor. A little surprised to see Sacha Baron Cohen not right behind Kaluuya in popularity just because he's the most recognizable name in the category.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actress Odds

1Best Supporting Actress OddsPublic Betting
Youn Yuh-Jung-30041.79%
Maria Bakalova+37529.29%
Glenn Close+110015%
Olivia Colman+20005.7%
Amanda Seyfried+33001.4%

Oscars Odds: Best Suporting Actress Prediction

Youn Yuh-Jung was fantastic in Minari. But, in order to keep things interesting and because I want to see Borat take home some hardware, I'm picking  Maria Bakalova to pull off the upset. It certainly wasn't a traditional role, but maybe that's what is needed to get the win.

2021 Oscars – Best Director Odds

1Best Director OddsPublic Betting
Chloe Zhao-250061.24%
David Fincher+100010.08%
Lee Isaac Chung+17003.1%
Emerald Fennell+20004.65%
Thomas Vinterberg+250018.6%

Oscars Odds: Best Director Prediction

Chloe Zhao is going to win Best Director at the 2021 Academy Awards for her film Nomadland. You can book it now. But, the real story here is the momentum behind Thomas Vinterberg. Despite having the longest odds (+2500), he is the second most popular pick among the betting public fo Another Round.

2021 Oscars – Best Orginal Screenplay Odds

1Best Original Screenplay OddsPublic Betting
Promising Young Woman-25052.5%
The Trial Of The Chicago 7+27535%
Minari+14007.5%
Judas And The Black Messiah+33002.5%
Sound Of Metal+33002.5%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Screenplay Prediction

Calling another upset here in the Best Original Screenplay category. I like The Trial of the Chicgao 7 to defeat Promising Young Woman. If we're going to make some money during the 93rd Academy Awards, we're going to need some winners that aren't odds on.

2021 Oscars – Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

1Best Adapted Screenplay OddsPublic Betting
Nomadland-35027.12%
The Father+45034%
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm+8008.47%
One Night In Miami+14001.69%
The White Tiger+33003.39%

Oscars Odds: Best Adapted Screenplay Prediction

I know, The Father is the bettors' favorite pick and I just talked about how I need some upset picks. But, I think Nomadland is going to be a force at the 2021 Oscars, and that includes taking home the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

2021 Oscars – Best Animated Feature Film Odds

1Best Animated Feature OddsPublic Betting
Soul-250083.33%
Wolfwalkers+8003.86%
Onward+25005.56%
Over The Moon+2800<1%
A Shaun The Sheep Movie+4000<1%

Oscars Odds: Best Animated Feature Film Prediction

Pixar and Disney are a beast in this category and Soul was a masterpiece. Jamie Foxx and Tina Fey brought their characters to life and made everyone (incuding myself) cry their eyes out in this one. Soul will take home the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film.

2021 Oscars – Best Original Song Odds

1Best Original Song OddsPublic Betting
Speak Now-15516.18%
Io Si+2402%
Husavik+35048.53%
Fight For You+25001%
Hear My Voice+250032.35%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Song Prediction

Husavik will most likely not win, but that hasn't stopped bettors from backing the song to be Will Ferrell's first ever Oscar. So, I'm jumping on board and betting Husavik to win Best Original Song. At +350, it would be a nice priced winner to get here to offset some of the big favorites at the 2021 Academy Awards.

2021 Oscars Betting Promos

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  • Best Animated Feature
  • Best Original Song

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Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.

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