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Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Odds, Date, How to Watch, and Predictions for UFC 301

For UFC 301's main event we will see Alexandre Pantoja face Steve Erceg. Will Pantoja or Erceg take the win on Saturday night? Johnny Covers shares his Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg UFC 301 predictions and the latest odds.
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Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Odds, Date, How to Watch, and Predictions for UFC 301

Looking for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg odds? We got you covered!

With two titles on the line at UFC, plus the BMF belt, UFC 301 might lack the star power and name recognition but still has all the potential in the world. There will be a belt on the line in the main event, in fact, as Alexandre Pantoja puts his flyweight strap against challenger Steve Erceg.

As Saturday night in Rio quickly approaches, let’s take a closer look at both fighters, where the money has come in, and who I like to walk away the winner come Saturday night.

UFC 301 DATE, TIME AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: May 4th, 2024,
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
  • Where: Farmasi Arena, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
  • Where to Watch: PVV

Click here for the latest Pantoja vs. Erceg odds

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg UFC 301 Odds

When the odds for this flyweight title fight opened, Pantoja was listed as a heavy -255 favorite while Erceg came in around +215. Since then, money has poured in on the underdog, as Erceg now sits at +215 as of Tuesday evening. 

FighterOddsTotal Rounds
Alexandre Pantoja-192O3.5 (-192)
Steve Erceg+160U3.5 (+160)

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg UFC 301 Prediction

Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0)

It was a long road to the top for Pantoja, who joined the UFC in 2016 via The Ultimate Fighter and bounced around the division picking up early wins against Brandon Moreno, Matt Schnell, and Ulka Sasaki. The run started in 2021, however, picking up a win over Manel Kape before rattling off two more to set up his rematch with Moreno, this time for the belt. After a razor-thin split decision win, Pantoja dominated in his first title defense, piecing up Brandon Royval in December. 

Steve Erceg (12-1-0)

Mostly speaking to just how shallow this flyweight division is, the road to the top for Erceg was much shorter, as he joined the UFC less than a year ago with a June 2023 win over David Dvorak. Picking up wins in the time since versus Alessandro Costa and Matt Schnell, Erceg could make history with one of the fastest ascents to a title in UFC history.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Pick

While Erceg certainly posses the skills to make this fight interesting, at 29 years old and just three fights into his UFC stint, I don’t think he has the repertoire to get this one done. I have Pantoja near the -255 he started at, and will gladly take this prize. 

Pick: Alexandre Pantoja (-190) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg

How To Bet On Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg

Now that you have the low down on Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg, let’s take a closer look at the best promos for you to get in on the action.

WIN A $25 GIFT CARD ON UFC 301

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Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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