Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds: Jake Paul Given 73% Chance to Beat Nate Diaz
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds: Jake Paul Given 73% Chance to Beat Nate Diaz
In just over two months, Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz will take over the world of boxing. But, in the lead-up to the fight, it's Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds that everyone will be talking about. and that's likely because one side is a massive favorite in the fight.
Jake Paul, YouTuber turned boxer, has had a successful career in the ring to this point. However, the last time we saw him boxing professionally he was handed his first loss of his career at the hands of Tommy Fury.
As for Nate Diaz, he's a legend in the octagon. His combination of striking and grappling has put him at the top of the sport for a long time. But, does his striking translate to the boxing ring?
To this point, most of Jake Paul's wins have come against former UFC fighters. Ben Askren, Tyron Woodley (twice) and Anderson Silva were all defeated by Paul. Will Nate Diaz be the next in line to take a loss at the hands of Paul? Let's take a look at the latest Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds to try and find out.
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 5, 2023
- Time: TBA
- Where to Watch: DAZN PPV
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds
| Fighter | Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | -270 | 73% |
| Nate Diaz | +215 | 31.7% |
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Prediction
As you can see above, Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz odds favor Paul to win by a considerable margin, and I think I'm in agreement with the sportsbooks on this one.
Paul, while still inexperienced, has proven that he can take guys that don't train for boxing year-round. Tyron Woodley gave Paul some trouble in their first fight, but he was ended with a vicious KO in their second fight.
Ben Askren was a joke when he fought Jake Paul, clearly using the fight as a quick money grab. Then, Paul took care of business against Anderson Silva.
Here's the thing. Diaz is a better striker than Askren and Woodley, but he's likely not a better puncher than Anderson Silva. Remember, in 2021 Silva beat former world champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. by a split decision.
Unfortunately, I think Diaz will prepare for this fight the same way others have, with the exception of Fury, and that's by looking at it as a pay day. This is a chance for Diaz to make a large sum of money, but he doesn't take boxing seriously and Paul does.
I think Diaz will be able to move around and not take too much damage, I certainly don't think he will get knocked out, but I do think Paul wins by decision as the more active fighter, similar to how he did against Tyron Woodley in their first fight.
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Pick
- PICK: Jake Paul to win (-270) Find out which sportsbooks have the best odds for Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Fighter Records
Jake Paul Fighter Record
| No. | Result | Record | Opponent | Type | Round, Time | Date | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Loss | 6-1 | Tommy Fury | SD | 8 | 2/26/2023 | Diriyah Arena, Diriyah, Saudi Arabia |
| 6 | Win | 6-0 | Anderson Silva | UD | 8 | 11/29/2022 | Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, U.S. |
| 5 | Win | 5-0 | Tyron Woodley | KO | 6 (8), 2:12 | 12/18/2021 | Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida, U.S. |
| 4 | Win | 4-0 | Tyron Woodley | SD | 8 | 8/29/2021 | Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, Ohio, U.S. |
| 3 | Win | 3-0 | Ben Askren | TKO | 1 (8), 1:59 | 4/17/2021 | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia, U.S. |
| 2 | Win | 2-0 | Nate Robinson | KO | 2 (6), 1:24 | 11/28/2020 | Staples Center, Los Angeles, California, U.S. |
| 1 | Win | 1-0 | Anderson Gib | TKO | 1 (6), 2:18 | 1/30/2020 | The Meridian at Island Gardens, Miami, Florida, U.S. |
Nate Diaz Fighter Record
| Res. | Record | Opponent | Method | Event | Date | Round | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 21–13 | Tony Ferguson | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC 279 | 9/10/2022 | 4 | 2:52 |
| Loss | 20–13 | Leon Edwards | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 263 | 6/12/2021 | 5 | 5:00 |
| Loss | 20–12 | Jorge Masvidal | TKO (doctor stoppage) | UFC 244 | 11/2/2019 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 20–11 | Anthony Pettis | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 241 | 8/17/2019 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Loss | 19–11 | Conor McGregor | Decision (majority) | UFC 202 | 8/20/2016 | 5 | 5:00 |
| Win | 19–10 | Conor McGregor | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC 196 | 3/5/2016 | 2 | 4:12 |
| Win | 18–10 | Michael Johnson | Decision (unanimous) | UFC on Fox: dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 | 12/19/2015 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Loss | 17–10 | Rafael dos Anjos | Decision (unanimous) | UFC on Fox: dos Santos vs. Miocic | 12/13/2014 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 17–9 | Gray Maynard | TKO (punches) | The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale | 11/30/2013 | 1 | 2:38 |
| Loss | 16–9 | Josh Thomson | TKO (head kick and punches) | UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Melendez | 4/20/2013 | 2 | 3:44 |
| Loss | 16–8 | Benson Henderson | Decision (unanimous) | UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz | 12/8/2012 | 5 | 5:00 |
| Win | 16–7 | Jim Miller | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller | 5/5/2012 | 2 | 4:09 |
| Win | 15–7 | Donald Cerrone | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 141 | 12/30/2011 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 14–7 | Takanori Gomi | Submission (armbar) | UFC 135 | 9/24/2011 | 1 | 4:27 |
| Loss | 13–7 | Rory MacDonald | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 129 | 4/30/2011 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Loss | 13–6 | Dong Hyun Kim | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 125 | 1/1/2011 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 13–5 | Marcus Davis | Technical Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC 118 | 8/28/2010 | 3 | 4:02 |
| Win | 12–5 | Rory Markham | TKO (punches) | UFC 111 | 3/27/2010 | 1 | 2:47 |
| Loss | 11–5 | Gray Maynard | Decision (split) | UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs. Diaz | 1/11/2010 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 11–4 | Melvin Guillard | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs. Guillard | 9/16/2009 | 2 | 2:13 |
| Loss | 10–4 | Joe Stevenson | Decision (unanimous) | The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale | 6/20/2009 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Loss | 10–3 | Clay Guida | Decision (split) | UFC 94 | 1/31/2009 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 10–2 | Josh Neer | Decision (split) | UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs. Neer | 9/17/2008 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 9–2 | Kurt Pellegrino | Submission (triangle choke) | UFC Fight Night: Florian vs. Lauzon | 4/2/2008 | 2 | 3:06 |
| Win | 8–2 | Alvin Robinson | Submission (triangle choke) | UFC Fight Night: Swick vs. Burkman | 1/23/2008 | 1 | 3:39 |
| Win | 7–2 | Junior Assunção | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs. Florian | 9/19/2007 | 1 | 4:10 |
| Win | 6–2 | Manny Gamburyan | TKO (shoulder injury) | The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale | 6/23/2007 | 2 | 0:20 |
| Loss | 5–2 | Hermes França | Submission (armbar) | WEC 24 | 10/12/2006 | 2 | 2:46 |
| Win | 5–1 | Dennis Davis | Submission (keylock) | Warrior Cup 1 | 8/12/2006 | 1 | 2:00 |
| Win | 4–1 | Joe Hurley | Submission (triangle choke) | WEC 21 | 6/15/2006 | 2 | 2:03 |
| Win | 3–1 | Gilbert Rael | TKO (punches) | WEC 20 | 5/5/2006 | 1 | 3:35 |
| Win | 2–1 | Tony Juares | TKO (punches) | Strikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie | 3/10/2006 | 1 | 3:23 |
| Loss | 1–1 | Koji Oishi | Decision (unanimous) | Pancrase: 2005 Neo-Blood Tournament Finals | 8/27/2005 | 3 | 5:00 |
| Win | 1–0 | Alejandro Garcia | Submission (triangle choke) | WEC 12 | 10/21/2004 | 3 | 2:17 |