Vermont vs. Duke Picks, Odds, Starting Lineups for the 2024 March Madness Round of 64
Vermont vs. Duke Picks, Odds, Starting Lineups for the 2024 March Madness Round of 64
The 13-seed Vermont Catamounts will face the 4-seed Duke Blue Devils on Friday night at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, in the South Region.
The Catamounts won the America East conference and enter the Round of 64 with an impressive 28-6 record. The Blue Devils are 24-8 and went 15-5 during ACC play, eliminated by NC State during the conference tournament.
Duke holds the edge in field goal percentage, converting over 48 percent of their shot attempts from the field, while holding opponents under 68 points per game on average. Vermont is no pushover though, scoring over 72 points per game with over a 45 percent conversion rate from the field.
Here's the current odds for Vermont vs. Duke, plus starting lineups, that we'll use to locate our favorite bet in this Round 1 matchup in the South Region between 13-seed Vermont and 4-seed Duke on Friday night.
VERMONT VS. DUKE START TIME, WHERE TO WATCH, AND ODDS
- Date: Friday, March 22, 2024
- Start Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
VERMONT VS. DUKE ODDS AND BETTING DATA
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | IMPLIED CHANCE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | -12.5 (-105) | 580 | 14.71% |
| Vermont Catamounts | +12.5 (-115) | -880 | 89.80% |
Sports bettors are bullish on Duke to beat Vermont on the point spread, with 70 percent of money coming in on the Blue Devils, including 65 percent of the betting handle.
Oddsmakers have made the Catamounts a +12.5-point underdog on the point spread, giving them under a 15 percent implied chance of advancing to Round 2 with an upset over Duke. Vermont is riding a 10-game winning streak entering this Round 1 matchup against the Blue Devils, while scoring at least 61 points in 33 consecutive games played at night.
It's been over a decade since these opponents met, so it'll be intriguing to see how Duke shakes off its last two losses to UNC and NC State against a scrappy Vermont team that plays hard on both ends of the court.
VERMONT VS. DUKE PREDICTION
It's difficult to envision a scenario where Vermont wins outright. Their talent is far outmatched by Duke's personnel, although 12.5 points is a lot to get on a point spread.
The last time we saw Vermont lose, it was by a two-point margin at the beginning of February. In fact, the Catamounts haven't lost by more than 12 points once this entire season. Conversely, Duke's recent wins have been by at least 15 or more points, routing Miami, Louisville, Virginia, and NC State.
Duke holds a big edge in rebounding, led by Kyle Filipowski, ranked 119th versus Vermont, who is 206th on the glass. The Blue Devils average 48 percent from the field compared to 45 percent for the Catamounts. Yet, both of these teams have been profitable toward the under this season.
132.5 total points suggests that this may wind up being a game that Duke wins 75-62. This would cover the point spread of -12.5 and cash over 132.5 by four points. We're going to recommend taking the points with the Blue Devils, who shouldn't have a lot of difficulty outscoring and out-rebounding the Catamounts.
Vermont vs. Duke Prediction: Duke -12.5 (-105) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
VERMONT VS. DUKE PROJECTED LINEUPS
Vermont projected lineup:
- G TJ Long
- G Aaron Deloney
- G Shamir Bogues
- F Ileri Ayo-Faleye
- F Matt Veretto
Duke projected lineup:
- C Kyle Filipowski
- G Jeremy Roach
- F Mark Mitchell
- G Jared McCain
- G Tyrese Proctor
VERMONT MARCH MADNESS ODDS
Oddsmakers have little to no faith in Vermont winning March Madness. +100000 odds is indicative of a team with a minimal probability to advance past Round 1, let alone win the entire tournament outright. The Catamounts are very talented in their own conference, but facing Duke, with Houston and Marquette still lurking in the South Region, there's no reason to invest in their odds despite their lucrative number available in the futures market.
DUKE MARCH MADNESS ODDS
Duke is obviously much higher in terms of their odds in the futures market. The Blue Devils are +2500 to win all six games to become the National Champion, with higher odds than Baylor, Illinois, Alabama, and Kansas. They'll likely have to beat Houston, Marquette, and NC State, who beat them outright during the ACC Tournament. This makes +2500 odds feel much too low, as it should more realistically be +3000 or longer. We're passing on Duke to win the tournament this season.
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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.