19:45 Sunday

This is the latest in a series of long shot bets for Oddschecker Unlimited subscribers from football betting analyst Mark O’Haire, who will be picking out his favourite selection for the weekend at odds of 5.0 or greater. 

This week’s selection can be backed at 15/2 (8.50) on bet365.

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Mark O’Haire Tips for this Weekend

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo - Sassuolo to Win & Both Teams To Score (15/2 bet365)

Fiorentina suffered a disappointing Coppa Italia exit in midweek. La Viola – finalists last season – were eliminated at the semi-final stage after seeing their 1-0 first leg advantage wiped out 4-2 on aggregate against Atalanta in Bergamo on Wednesday night.

Nikola Milenkovic’s red card proved costly with head coach Vincenzo Italiano admitting he had ‘big regrets’ over the sending off, as well as wasted first leg opportunities. Still, Fiorentina are keen to bounce back with another cup semi-final on the horizon.

On Thursday, La Viola will welcome Club Brugge to Florence for the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final and Fiorentina have made it clear they will be prioritising their quest for silverware over Serie A. Italiano has shown a preference to rest and rotate his troops before and after important cup clashes and a similar approach could be in the offing.

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So with Fiorentina potentially naming a weakened side for Sunday night’s league showdown with Sassuolo, I’d be happy to oppose the hosts considering their attention may well be elsewhere. With the market not yet factoring the possibility of a much-changed home side into its pricing, there’s an opportunity to support the desperate visitors at fancy prices. 

Sassuolo start the weekend two points adrift of safety with only five fixtures to play. The Neroverdi have won just three Serie A matches since September, although one of those victories was against La Viola, and the visitors have proven they’re capable of mixing it with elite Serie A opposition on their day. They look too big to dismiss as 4/1 (5.00) dogs.

To bolster the odds to Long Shot territory, we can include Both Teams To Score for a 15/2 (8.50) shout with bet365 – Sassuolo have managed just two shutouts across the whole league campaign. However, Fiorentina’s league form has been far from formidable in 2024 – the hosts have tabled only three triumphs in 14 Serie A outings and are worth fading here.